dr ali binazir odds of being born

Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. You can start the series by clicking HERE. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Or stalk me (with love.). So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Even if they couldn't read them yet. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Please pass this post along. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Something was dropped and then picked up. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Your email address will not be published. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Hello there! Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. So whats the probability of your existing? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Step 1. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. On one try. Just go have some fucking fun! Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. So what's the probability of your being born? These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Me neither. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. How fast does a laden fly fly? Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. June 24, 2022 . And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Wowser. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. June 5. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. saving. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. An unimaginably long time. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Are they gross exaggerations? Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. Step 4. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Yet here we are. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Scripture says. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. But Im not mathy. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Step 2. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Thats 150,000 generations. On one try. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? That's a pretty straightforward calculation. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism.

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